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Box Office Expectations for ‘Melania’

Jeremy Fuster, reporting for TheWrap:

But save for some theaters in Republican-heavy states, the film is
unlikely to leave much of an impact at a slumping box office, with
theatrical sources telling TheWrap that “Melania” is projected for
an opening of around $3 million this weekend.

That would put it below the last right-wing documentary, the Daily
Wire-produced Matt Walsh film “Am I Racist?,” which opened to $4.5
million from 1,517 locations in September 2024, finishing with a
$12.3 million total that made it the highest-grossing doc that
year. The highest projections are coming from NRG with an estimate
of around $5 million, though audience interest polls from the
company have 30% saying they are “definitely not” interested in
watching the film, an unusually high count for any wide release.

These projections are with a $35 million promotional campaign, for a movie Amazon paid $40 million to purchase. (Via Taegan Goddard.)

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